Kansas Population Projections, 2014-2064

Friday, August 5, 2016

Kansas Population Projections, 2014-2064 Micropolitan Population | Released June 2016 The Center for Economic Development and Business Research (CEDBR), part of the W. Frank Barton School of Business at Wichita State University, recently released population projections by age cohort from 2014 to 2064 for every Kansas county. In these projections, the overall Kansas population is forecast to grow from 2,904,321 to 3,538,277, a 21.8 percent increase. The population of the micropolitan statistical areas of Kansas is projected to shrink from 552,939 to 522,154 over the same period, a 6.5 percent decline.

Micropolitan statistical areas are urban areas centered around a city or urban cluster with a population between 10,000 and 50,000 people, and typically include the county that the city is in and sometimes an additional county with economic linkages to the urban area. Kansas has 16 micropolitan areas throughout the state, in addition to the five larger metropolitan areas. These micropolitan areas are located throughout the state, with more in the central and eastern portions than the western part of the state. In 2014, the most populated micropolitan area in Kansas was the Hutchinson micropolitan area, which includes all of Reno County, with a population of 63,794. The smallest of the micropolitan areas in 2014 was the Atchison micropolitan area, which is comprised solely by Atchison County, with a population of 16,513.

The micropolitan areas throughout Kansas are forecast to have a wide dispersion in their population growth projections for the next fifty years, ranging from a decline of 44.5 percent to an increase of 86.1 percent from their 2014 population. The two regions expected to see population growth in their micropolitan areas in Kansas are the Western and Northeastern portions of the state. The western micropolitan areas are, on average, projected to grow 7.5 percent through 2064, while the northeastern micropolitan areas are projected to grow 22.4 percent, on average. The most rapidly declining region for micropolitan areas is expected to be the South Central, which is forecast to have a population decline of 31.6 percent through 2064.

See the full report at cedbr.org.